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BTC / DXY Correlation

Pearson correlation of BTC vs US Dollar Index (DXY) daily log returns

BTC / DXY Correlation on PEPS Crypto (Market Overview). Live data available. Advanced crypto market analysis, trading signals, and intelligence powered by the PEPS Trading Engine.

LIVE
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Rolling correlation

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Snapshot history

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How to use this tool

BTC / DXY Correlation tracks how Bitcoin moves relative to the US Dollar Index using Pearson correlation on daily log returns.

How it works

  • Data refreshes daily (~22:40 local) from Yahoo Finance chart API.
  • Returns are log(close_t / close_t−1) on overlapping dates only.
  • Regimes: Strong inverse ≤−0.45, Mild ≤−0.15, Neutral >−0.15, Mild+ ≥0.15, Decouple ≥0.45.
  • Delta compares correlation to the previous PEPS snapshot for that window.
  • Rolling series uses the same window length walked across recent history.

What to consider

  • BTC can rally on crypto-native flows while DXY is flat — ρ may rise toward zero.
  • A dollar squeeze can hit BTC even if equities hold — watch ρ and beta together.
  • Always confirm with volume, funding, and flow tools before acting.
  • Negative beta magnitude shows sensitivity to dollar moves in return space.
  • Use alongside BTC / Gold when judging inflation vs dollar narratives.

Read the complete guide